1. Jordan Williams (+125)
2. Jamall Emmers (-188)
Women’s Flyweight Fight: Antonina Shevchenko vs. Jaymee Nievara
Prediction of the Fight
I’m not even going to breakdown each fighter for this fight. After watching past fights for both fighters the conclusion is just as everyone should suspect. Antonina Shevchenko is light-years ahead of Jaymee Nievara in the stand-up department. Shevchenko is super fast and technical. She likes to take her time and pick her opponents apart slowly. Jaymee Nievara is very slow. Her punches are slow. Her kicks are slow. And her grappling is slow. She is taking this fight on days notice and she is just a sacrificial lamb for Shevchenko to put on a striking performance. The real question is: Will Shevchenko hold back in this fight or will she go for the impressive finish? Antonina Shevchenko by TKO, Round 3.
Lightweight Fight: Austin Tweedy vs. Te’Jovan Edwards
Austin Tweedy looks like a threat when he’s inside of that octagon. He looks like a very strong guy that is hard to deal with. His striking looks like it has good fundamentals to avoid a lot of damage, but he looks to get his fights to the ground as soon as possible. He has very strong double leg takedowns. Once he is on top, he is working hard to pass the guard and to get into better positions. He will open up with brutal strikes if his opponent allows him to, or he will jump on a submission if the opening is there. The problem with him is that he has been out for the past few years due to injuries. Very concerned with how he will look with such a long layoff. I think Tweedy can have a lot of success in the UFC if he got the chance. His strength and grappling ability would give a lot of fighters problems.
Te’Jovan Edwards is a great prospect that could develop into a contender over the years. He trains at a great camp, The MMA Lab, in Arizona. All of his wins are by KO, but this kid is a wrestler. He uses his wrestling well to keep fights on the feet, and he’s got good striking to score KO’s with his punches or head kicks. When his opponents clinch up with him, Edwards does a great job landing strikes in the clinch. That creates the space that he needs to get out of the clinch. He has good top control, but that was against very low competition. At this point in his career, I’m concerned that he is too green in the sport. I’d like to see him fight in a competitive three round decision to see how developed of a fighter that he actually is. I do like that he’s training at the MMA Lab, and I think this kid has a lot of promise.
Prediction of the Fight
I think this is an excellent fight. Both of these guys look to be high level wrestlers, but each of them use it in a different way. Austin Tweedy looks to go right for the takedown to get this fight on the mat. So far Tweedy has been very successful with getting takedowns on his first attempt. Te’Jovan Edwards is a D1 wrestler that uses his wrestling to keep fights standing. It will be interesting to see how this fight will play out. Will Tweedy be successful with his wrestling early on? Will he start getting desperate if he can’t get the takedown? Will Te’Jovan be able to get back to his feet if he does get taken down? Can Te’Jovan defend submissions? How is the cardio for both fighters if this fight goes into deep waters? So many questions, and this fight should be able to tell us a lot about how good they actually are right now in their careers. I like the way Tweedy is relentless for the takedowns, and I like how aggressive he is on the mat. I think Tweedy can avoid the striking, and make this an ugly grappling infested fight. Austin Tweedy by Submission, Round 2.
Heavyweight Fight: Greg Rebello vs. Josh Parisian
Greg Rebello actually has some talent with his boxing. He moves his head well, and counters his opponents with huge shots. He’s a southpaw, so his left hand is the hand his opponents need to watch out for. The problem with Rebello is that he holds back way too much. So much so that he could lose fights by decision because he allows his opponents to press forward and out volume him with strikes. He hasn’t showed any signs of wanting to take his fights down to the ground in his most recent bouts. He is athletic enough to avoid the takedowns from his opponents. Rebello isn’t a bad fighter, but he’s not dominant at anything. He likes to engage in a stand-up battle, and sometimes that backfires.
Josh Parisian is just another sloppy Heavyweight that is making his way around the regional scene. He normally towers over his opponents, and he likes to use his reach with a high volume of the “jab-straight” combination. He has a decent leg kick that he likes to throw often as well. His takedown defense is very sub-par. Especially if you consider the competition that he has been facing. I do not expect this guy to get very far in the already shallow Heavyweight division. If he ever fought in the UFC don’t expect to remember him.
Prediction of the Fight
Josh Parisian is taking this fight on just a few days notice. And for a sloppy heavyweight it could mean that his gas tank is limited to a few minutes of fighting. It could also mean that he is going to try and drop the hammer as soon as possible. Parisian just doesn’t have that scary power of a heavyweight. I’m sure he can knock anyone out, but he’s no power puncher. Greg Rebello should have this fight in the bag. It would be smart of Rebello to grind on Parisian a little bit to really suck the energy out of the short notice fighter. Rebello has shown no signs of going for takedowns or engaging in a clinch, so expect him to take his time and sit down on a counter left hand. Josh Parisian will press forward throwing straight punches and leg kicks. I just don’t see Rebello not being able to counter those strikes with big shots. If Parisian lands a straight right on Rebello to turn off the lights then I will not be shocked, but Rebello is most likely to land a huge blow during an exchange. I don’t think this fight will last too long. Greg Rebello by KO, Round 1.
Featherweight Fight: Julian Erosa vs. Jamall Emmers
Julian Erosa has tasted the bright lights that shine on the UFC octagon before. He has also fought in the same cage that he will be fighting in on Tuesday back when he was on The Ultimate Fighter. He’s a fighter that is well rounded in every area, and he has great cardio to make his attributes excel past his opponents as the rounds go on. He has recently competed in multiple five round fights, so he should be able to bring it in his three round fight on Tuesday. His striking is solid, but he doesn’t do a good job of getting in a range to land his strikes effectively. His jiu-jitsu is well versed as well. The big problem that I see in his game is that he can get out grappled. He can be controlled in the clinch, and he can be controlled on the ground. And that will cause him to lose fights, especially if he doesn’t get better at implementing his striking better.
Jamall Emmers has a lot of potential for an up and coming fighter. He’s a powerful athlete that has a strong wrestling game that he can rely on to win him rounds. He likes to throw flashy kicks to keep his range, but his boxing is where his game really lacks. He likes to keep his distance, and utilize kicks from the outside. His punches normally consist of a jab/straight right combination, but he uses that to rush in and get into the clinch where he can work for takedowns. On the feet he tends to stop moving to taunt his opponents. I don’t know if he does that because he is tired, so by doing that he tries to get enough space to breath. Regardless, Emmers’ wrestling is his bread and butter. He does a good job of mixing it in with his strikes. He’s not completely reliant on the wrestling, but he needs it to win his fights.
Prediction of the Fight
Julian Erosa is a very solid fighter that excels in five round fights. He takes a while to warm up his offense it seems, and he normally has the better gas tank than his opponents in fights that go the distance. But this is a three round fight, and Jamall Emmers has the style that has given Erosa problems in the past. Emmers is going to stay on the outside and use his kicks. If Erosa tries to pressure with punches, Emmers will duck them and shoot for a takedown. Emmers is really good at keeping his opponents in the clinch, and taking them down repeatedly. Wrestling wins rounds. Emmers knows how to win rounds. Erosa is going to have to pressure Emmers and open up with his striking. Erosa will have the better cardio, but I don’t think that he can keep the grappling to a minimum in this fight. If this was a five round fight then I'd favor Erosa to win in the later rounds. Since its a three round fight, I favor the grappler. Jamall Emmers by Decision.
Middleweight Fight: Tim Caron vs. Jordan Williams
Tim Caron has fought in Bellator on three separate occasions going 2-1. He seems to mainly be a striker. He is a very slow and lackadaisical. He likes to keep the distance from his opponents where he can paw out the jab and throw a high volume of leg kicks over time. If his opponents rush in to close the distance then Caron will try to land a straight right hand down the pipe. He seems to be solid on the basics of MMA, but he has a long ways to go until he is UFC caliber. He can be outworked, he can be out struck, and he can be out grappled. Once he starts facing better competition, then the losses should start adding up.
Jordan Williams looks like an athlete. He likes to push the pace on the feet, and he will go for takedowns when he has a chance. Williams looks like he has power in his hands. The only thing I do not like about his striking is that he rushes in while throwing punches, leaving himself open for counter shots. His grappling should be his best part of his game. He showed good takedown defense, and good grappling ability against a submission type of fighter in his most recent bout in Bellator. His most recent loss came a couple of years ago to the hands of Dwight Grant, who just got a UFC contract at last weeks Contender Series. Jordan Williams is taking this fight on days notice, and he does have type 1 diabetes. I’m not sure how much that will affect his weight cut or his performance, but definitely look into the weigh-in’s on Monday to see what he looks like. He does train with the Diaz brothers in Northern California. There’s a lot to like in this kid if you’re looking at him as a prospect.
Prediction of the Fight
This fight should be fairly one sided for Jordan Williams. He’s the better athlete that will push the pace. He will close the distance, and he should be able to get takedowns when he is looking for them. If Williams can get this fight to the mat then I am confident that he will end it there. Tim Caron is going to do what he always does. He’s going to keep his distance and paw out his jabs, and he’s going to look to land several inside and outside leg kicks. I just don’t think Williams is going to let Caron do that to him. My two concerns with Williams losing this fight: he might get caught with Caron’s counter straight right hand while rushing forward, and his cardio because he is taking this fight on very short notice. I do think that athleticism wins this fight for Williams. Jordan Williams by Submission, Round 1.